Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 9.500271 11.191223 13.048759 15.234359 17.728884 20.480377 23.737906
2025-04-20 7.016041 9.386144 12.275197 16.023052 20.719770 26.371623 33.643598
2025-04-27 5.681475 8.404946 12.004302 17.031348 23.779938 32.424938 44.217460
2025-05-04 4.614337 7.449939 11.466330 17.433986 25.911018 37.331162 53.647440
2025-05-11 3.729359 6.526617 10.746553 17.372939 27.263993 41.181330 61.865051
2025-05-18 3.005649 5.679793 9.960464 17.034540 28.080836 44.241888 69.114289
2025-05-25 2.439826 4.963690 9.237878 16.646653 28.706030 46.986136 76.018138
2025-06-01 1.991235 4.352904 8.575165 16.232687 29.190198 49.485863 82.659234
2025-06-08 1.569260 3.697443 7.720799 15.360500 28.800208 50.545295 87.104785
2025-06-15 1.422219 3.553416 7.760425 16.033964 31.021966 55.867253 98.521889
2025-06-22 1.257092 3.335855 7.623713 16.358727 32.651277 60.312826 108.785737
2025-06-29 1.034152 2.939976 7.071480 15.825982 32.690167 62.082535 114.749922
2025-07-06 0.805602 2.489065 6.361477 14.955803 32.143528 63.016571 119.763095
2025-07-13 0.735283 2.419579 6.469492 15.769953 34.885042 69.976146 135.664116
2025-07-20 0.683818 2.387473 6.656236 16.771879 38.086341 77.993431 153.933098
2025-07-27 0.602781 2.249821 6.570735 17.170599 40.121091 84.019444 169.046660
2025-08-03 0.510765 2.051142 6.298367 17.110599 41.205231 88.339131 181.338643
2025-08-10 0.422196 1.833063 5.932198 16.776666 41.669576 91.493500 191.661911
2025-08-17 0.347104 1.632503 5.569893 16.393868 41.976787 94.343370 201.562965
2025-08-24 0.284218 1.450794 5.220026 15.985343 42.173533 96.968137 211.167761
2025-08-31 0.220391 1.236560 4.725062 15.124679 41.244816 97.231972 216.202800
2025-09-07 0.203701 1.211800 4.803053 15.789238 43.914819 105.070487 236.521847
2025-09-14 0.181141 1.151908 4.757361 16.109724 45.794537 111.367919 254.099096